15 Biz Travel Predictions for ‘08 from USA Today
A few weeks back, USA Today ran an interesting piece from their business travel columnist David Grossman. He presents a compelling case for why ‘08 isn’t likely to be a good, or even a decent, year for conventional business travel.
In this column, Grossman makes a host of points, virtually all of them unsettling. Here are a few:
Old & Tired
“The U.S. fleet is rapidly aging, with 35% of airliners now over 25 years of age according to IATA. Older airplanes with more frequent maintenance problems feed further flight delays and cancellations.”
Costs Gain Altitude
“American Express projects domestic economy fares to increase as much as 5%, while long-haul business class fares are expected to rise by 10%. With capacity cuts and skyrocketing oil prices, these estimates may be extremely conservative. ”
Hassles, Hassles Everywhere
“Expect no relief from airport hassles this year and more confusing rules and restrictions when the next threat is uncovered and panic ensues.”
Older Planes But Younger Pilots
“Exploding aviation growth in other world regions coupled with the rise of low cost airlines and fractional (private) jets has created a pilot shortage and is responsible for some flight cancellations this past year, particularly at regional airlines. Consequently, less experienced pilots are moving up the ranks, which is disconcerting, although it must be noted that all pilots must still meet specified minimums established by the Federal Aviation Administration.”
We wish we had better news for you. But look on the bright side: We can at least try to mentally prepare ourselves for what is sure to be an painfully frustrating year when it comes to flying commercial. Once again, fractional ownership seems sweeter and sweeter by the day.
